Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2.474124 2.817248 3.180610 3.593020 4.047034 4.530532 5.083272
2025-01-19 1.949026 2.447494 3.015744 3.706423 4.517889 5.435618 6.546335
2025-01-26 1.563709 2.146903 2.857034 3.772848 4.909125 6.258689 7.967611
2025-02-02 1.287861 1.918347 2.732822 3.838854 5.276103 7.053767 9.388830
2025-02-09 1.056567 1.700828 2.580449 3.832511 5.527931 7.700396 10.645107
2025-02-16 0.862159 1.497081 2.411233 3.771090 5.683318 8.212826 11.738250
2025-02-23 0.735859 1.369544 2.326648 3.806793 5.957208 8.879824 13.049344
2025-03-02 0.614218 1.227181 2.198695 3.759771 6.100583 9.365194 14.126268
2025-03-09 0.534138 1.138715 2.139453 3.802800 6.366386 10.021712 15.453024
2025-03-16 0.456450 1.040478 2.050831 3.787805 6.538076 10.544776 16.605951
2025-03-23 0.417888 1.007273 2.064590 3.932585 6.954642 11.432567 18.302313
2025-03-30 0.382196 0.973352 2.071982 4.064405 7.354141 12.306882 20.005040
2025-04-06 0.325875 0.889770 1.984953 4.035918 7.506986 12.833423 21.242255
2025-04-13 0.289972 0.843220 1.960751 4.113246 7.834744 13.639503 22.925327
2025-04-20 0.255683 0.793586 1.924487 4.165043 8.121610 14.392783 24.554753
2025-04-27 0.226893 0.750937 1.896341 4.227609 8.427405 15.184729 26.266313
2025-05-04 0.195383 0.694438 1.832514 4.216965 8.604697 15.776838 27.686881
2025-05-11 0.163937 0.630236 1.743546 4.149056 8.675217 16.196179 28.847960
2025-05-18 0.144396 0.594190 1.710913 4.186888 8.932360 16.924834 30.512327
2025-05-25 0.121946 0.543356 1.637680 4.135855 9.023626 17.379810 31.751662
2025-06-01 0.108063 0.515359 1.613669 4.182153 9.292899 18.136892 33.490902
2025-06-08 0.092803 0.478212 1.562309 4.165919 9.442761 18.694980 34.920728
2025-06-15 0.087104 0.473233 1.590630 4.322053 9.925371 19.834812 37.327728